📊 Macro & Fiscal Outlook
The Union Budget maintains a strong focus on fiscal discipline. For FY27, the fiscal deficit has been projected at 4.3% of GDP, while the Centre’s debt ratio is expected to soften to 55.6%, compared to 56.1% in FY26 (Revised Estimate). This keeps the government on track with its medium-term goal of bringing debt levels closer to 50% of GDP by FY31.
Capital Expenditure (FY27)
Public investment remains a central pillar of the growth strategy.
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Total Capex: ₹12.2 lakh crore
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Annual Growth: 9% year-on-year
Market Borrowing Programme
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Gross borrowing: ₹17.2 lakh crore
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Net borrowing: ₹11.7 lakh crore
States will continue to receive 41% of central tax revenues, along with ₹1.4 lakh crore in Finance Commission grants, supporting state-level development.
🏗️ Growth Engines: Infrastructure & Manufacturing
Government spending continues to be channelled towards large-scale infrastructure — including highways, rail freight corridors, ports, inland waterways and urban infrastructure.
Key Manufacturing Initiatives
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ISM 2.0: Strengthening domestic manufacturing ecosystems
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Electronics components: ₹40,000 crore allocation
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Biopharma Shakti: ₹10,000 crore
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Container manufacturing: ₹10,000 crore
Customs & Input Cost Relief
Import duty concessions have been extended for strategic sectors such as lithium-ion batteries, solar glass, critical minerals, aviation components and nuclear power projects, with some benefits valid until 2035.
🚢 Trade, Exports & Logistics
To enhance export competitiveness, the government announced targeted duty exemptions for seafood, leather, footwear and textile industries, along with relaxed export fulfilment timelines. High-seas fishing exports will also benefit from duty-free facilitation.
Logistics Reforms
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Instant cargo clearance for trusted importers
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Enhanced AEO framework
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Modernised warehousing systems
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AI-based container scanning at major ports
These steps aim to reduce turnaround time and improve overall trade efficiency.
💰 Taxation & Capital Market Reforms
Key Market Measures
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Securities Transaction Tax (STT) increased:
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Futures: 0.05%
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Options: 0.15%
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Share buyback taxation shifted to capital gains, including additional promoter-level levies
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Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) reduced to 14%, but MAT credit utilisation restricted from April 2026
Relief & Compliance
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TCS on foreign travel and remittances under LRS cut to 2%
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Simplified ITR timelines
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Rule-based lower or nil TDS system
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Easier compliance for NRIs and small taxpayers
🚀 Future-Oriented Sectors
Major Highlight
A landmark move was the announcement of a tax exemption until 2047 for global cloud service providers operating data centres in India — positioning the country as a global digital infrastructure hub.
Other Focus Areas
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Clean and renewable energy
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Nuclear power expansion
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AI-driven public services
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Services exports (target of 10% global market share by 2047)
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Medical tourism clusters
🎯 Sectoral Impact
Positive Outlook
Infrastructure, capital goods, logistics, electronics, renewable energy, data centres, fisheries and agri-processing
Neutral to Mixed
Capital markets (STT hike balanced by compliance ease), IT sector (due to buyback taxation changes)
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Final Outlook
Budget 2026 is designed to strengthen India’s economic foundation rather than deliver short-lived stimulus. The combination of fiscal discipline, infrastructure-led investment and structural reforms creates a stable environment for sustainable growth while keeping financial markets well-balanced.
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